Great Winner At 2.75!

1pt Newcastle 20+ total shots vs Leicester at 2.75 (Unibet) WINNER

This bet won with around 20 minutes left in the game as Newcastle absolutely battered Leicester from pillar to post. Love the result and the profit.

Today we have a similar effort.

1.5pts Chelsea 19+ total shot vs Brentford at 1.8

Title contenders (yes, really) Chelsea take on a Brentford side who have been Jekyll and Hyde this season, mainly due to the schedule.

The Bees are W7 D1 at home and D1 L6 away, playing only bottom half teams at home and facing five of last season's top eight on the road. They face another of those sides here on their travels here, and we shouldn't expect a different outcome.

The stat that stands out about Thomas Frank's side though is the number of shots they concede. Only bottom side Southampton (277) have faced more attempts than the Bees (272 - 18.2 per game).

This is a bet that would have won in six of seven Brentford away matches this season, with Frank's men facing 22.1 shots per game on their travels.

2pts Southampton vs Tottenham - Tottenham at 1.75

In terms of a head-to-head game, you have to give Spurs a huge edge with their ability to win the ball high up the pitch and Saint's persistence at playing out. You would expect Spurs to pick their pockets a couple of times at least.

The bookies are doing Spurs dirty here I know they've struggled for consistency but looking at their attacking numbers vs Southampton’s defence it feels pretty harsh.

Even with Spurs road struggles Southampton are more charitable at home than Live Aid.

Spurs are 2nd for xG and Southampton are 20th... such is the disparity of the firepower!

Solanke breaks his run of goal less games last week ad now I think he could have a hot run.