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Bournemouth to Beat Crystal Palace at 1.95

Bournemouth’s current form presents a compelling case for their odds of 1.95 to secure victory over Crystal Palace. Their rise under Andoni Iraola has been nothing short of remarkable, with the club sitting fifth in the Premier League after dismantling Manchester United 3-0 at Old Trafford.

At home, Bournemouth have proven exceptionally resilient, defeating Arsenal, Tottenham, and Manchester City—three of the league’s top sides—while conceding just one goal in those fixtures. This highlights both their defensive stability and attacking efficiency when playing at the Vitality Stadium.

Crystal Palace, on the other hand, arrive on the back of a demoralizing 5-1 home defeat to Arsenal, further exposing their defensive vulnerabilities. Their away record offers little confidence, and with injuries hampering key players, they could struggle to contain Bournemouth’s momentum.

Implied probability from the odds suggests Bournemouth have a 51.3% chance of winning.

However, factoring in their performance metrics and Palace’s inconsistency, the realistic probability appears closer to 60%, indicating potential value in backing Bournemouth at the current price.

Bournemouth’s home record, coupled with Palace’s defensive frailties, makes 1.95 a fair and appealing price. The data-driven edge suggests Bournemouth should secure the three points.