Parker To Keep The Party Going

1.5pts Burnley to beat Derby at 1.75

Burnley’s case for a home win against Derby is compelling when you weigh the data. Their defensive record is exceptional—just seven goals conceded in 19 Championship matches, a figure unmatched across the country. This defensive solidity underpins their remarkable form: unbeaten in eight games (W6 D2) and only two losses all season.

In contrast, Derby’s trajectory is concerning. With just one win since October 5 and a current three-game losing streak, they enter this fixture in poor shape. While Derby’s attack has struggled to maintain consistency, Burnley’s defense thrives, averaging less than 0.4 goals conceded per game.

At 1.75, the odds represent value, reflecting Burnley’s superiority in form, defensive metrics, and the clear disparity in momentum between the two teams. The evidence heavily favors the home side to secure another three points.